A former member of my temporary blacklist after he was throttled by Denis Kudla in straight sets, Taylor Fritz has come into his own as a legitimate and perennial ATP Top-20 talent. While he is admittedly a bit overpriced these days, there is a secret to betting Fritz that I will share. According to a player from Southern California, very close to Fritz, the 24-year-old excels on high bouncing courts.
“When the ball stays low, he’s fine, but when it bounces really high, he is truly incredible at hitting down on his forehand.”
This became apparent at Indian Wells, one of the highest bouncing venues on the ATP Tour. I was in the stands during his victory over Jannik Sinner, and from 1-4 down in the first set, Fritz reeled off 7 games in a row, and Sinner did not play badly. It became apparent that when he’s locked in, Fritz has the talent to beat anyone in the world in a best of three set match.
If the court bounces high, feel free to bet Taylor Fritz. You will get burned from time to time, but in a winnable matchup, feel free to take Fritz up to -3.5 games. If he serves first, hopping on a -4.5 live is not the worst play in the world. Just don’t bet him against Yoshihito Nishioka.